MLC 2026: Texas Super Kings Vs Washington Freedom Match Predictions and Betting odds

Washington Freedom have been the form team of the tournament’s second half, riding a four-wicket haul from Jack Edwards to leap from sixth to first on the points table just a week ago, and this wf vs tsk today match prediction has them arriving full of confidence with three wins in their last five. Texas Super Kings, meanwhile, are in freefall — back-to-back defeats, including a heartbreaking nine-run loss to Seattle Orcas where Dasun Shanaka took four wickets in four balls, have dropped them to the bottom of the table. Mitchell Owen remains the standout name in this contest, striking at 208.18 this season, while Faf du Plessis is TSK’s one real source of hope with the bat. This wf vs tsk match prediction leans firmly toward Washington, who have the form, the bowling depth, and the bigger picture on their side heading into a Grand Prairie pitch that’s turned slightly tougher for batters in recent matches.

Match Details

Detail	Info
Match	Texas Super Kings vs Washington Freedom — 27th Match (D/N)
Date & Time	July 11, 2026, 2:00 AM IST (evening local, Dallas)
Venue	Grand Prairie Stadium, Dallas
Tournament	Major League Cricket 2026
Live Streaming	Willow TV & ESPN+ (USA), Fancode (India)
Stakes	WF look to stay top of the table; TSK need a win to avoid the bottom spot becoming permanent

WF vs TSK Pitch Report Today

Grand Prairie Stadium has still been batting-friendly overall in MLC 2026, but the latest matches have shown the surface isn’t always flat. Across eight completed matches, the first-innings average has dropped slightly to 185.0 runs, and chasing teams have now won 6 of 8. San Francisco Unicorns’ recent chase of 144 in just 15.4 overs keeps the strong chasing trend alive, but the surface has increasingly shown something for disciplined bowlers too — as seen in TSK’s own low-scoring 112 in their last outing. The safest pitch verdict: a good batting venue overall, stronger for chasing in MLC 2026, but the exact strip can still help accurate bowlers and create collapses. No official par score is available.

Weather Report — Dallas, July 11, 2026

Condition	Details
Temperature	~36–38°C at start, cooling into the mid-to-high 20s°C by the back end of the match
Sky	Clear to partly cloudy — typical Texas summer
Rain Risk	Low
Humidity	Moderate to high
Dew	Light dew possible late in the second innings under lights

WF vs TSK Recent Form

Team	Form (oldest to most recent)
Texas Super Kings	W W L L L — free-falling, back-to-back losses have dropped them to the bottom
Washington Freedom	L W L W W — surging at the right time, winners of their last two

Head-to-Head Record (Last 5 Matches)

Date	Winner	Margin
28-Jun-2026	Washington Freedom	1 wicket
09-Jul-2025	No result	Abandoned at the toss
03-Jul-2025	Texas Super Kings	43 runs
23-Jun-2025	Washington Freedom	7 wickets
20-Jul-2024	Washington Freedom	42 runs

WF vs TSK Predicted Playing XIs

Washington Freedom Playing XI:

Mitchell Owen, Steven Smith (C), Andries Gous (WK), Mark Chapman, Nikhil Chaudhary, Lahiru Milantha, Obus Pienaar, Jack Edwards, Ian Holland, Ben Dwarshuis, Saurabh Netravalkar

Texas Super Kings Playing XI:

Saiteja Mukkamalla (WK), Faf du Plessis (C), Rilee Rossouw, Shubham Ranjane, Donovan Ferreira, Wiaan Mulder, Dian Forrester, Calvin Savage, Adam Milne, Amshi de Silva, Abhimanyu Lamba

WF vs TSK Players to Watch

Washington Freedom

Mitchell Owen (BAT/ALL) — 356 runs at Avg 39.56, SR 208.18 in recent 10M | The most destructive batter in this entire fixture — his strike rate makes him a genuine top-order threat regardless of conditions.
Mark Chapman (BAT) — 211 runs at Avg 26.38, SR 146.52 in recent 8M | Chapman’s fifty-plus contribution helped seal WF’s win over LAKR, and he adds real depth behind Owen.
Ian Holland (ALL) — 10 wickets at Econ 8.15, SR 11.7 in recent 7M | WF’s most reliable wicket-taker this season, giving them control in the middle overs.
Saurabh Netravalkar (BOWL) — 9 wickets at Econ 8.85, SR 18 in recent 8M | WF’s death-overs specialist, and a big part of why they’ve closed out tight finishes recently.
Jack Edwards (BOWL) — 5 wickets at Econ 9.93 in recent 4M, including a match-winning 4/13 | Not the biggest season numbers, but he’s in career-best form right now, and his last spell was the standout bowling performance in this matchup.

Texas Super Kings

Faf du Plessis (C, BAT) — 267 runs at Avg 38.14, SR 162.8 in recent 9M | TSK’s captain and most consistent batter — the man they need to fire if they’re to arrest this losing run.
Saiteja Mukkamalla (WK-BAT) — 216 runs at Avg 24, SR 121.34 in recent 10M | Adds top-order support for du Plessis, though he’s yet to convert his starts into a truly big innings.
Amshi de Silva (BOWL) — 12 wickets at Econ 8.03, SR 14.5 in recent 8M | TSK’s leading wicket-taker this season, and their best hope of applying pressure early.
Adam Milne (BOWL) — 10 wickets at Econ 7.77, SR 17.6 in recent 8M | A genuine pace threat with the new ball, though his recent form (0 wickets in the last outing) has been patchy.

WF vs TSK Toss Prediction

Direct answer: Bowl first.

Grand Prairie’s chasing trend has only strengthened in MLC 2026 — teams batting second have now won 6 of the 8 completed matches this season, and the venue’s all-time record also edges toward chasing (26 wins to 24). With both attacks capable of applying control in the middle overs, expect whoever wins the toss to bowl first and chase.

Match Prediction Scenarios

If Texas Super Kings Bat First:

Predicted Total: 155–180. Du Plessis and Mukkamalla can give them a platform, but TSK’s middle order has looked fragile through their recent slump, and a total below 160 hands Washington’s chasing form the initiative.

If Washington Freedom Bat First:

Predicted Total: 175–195. Owen’s explosive top-order hitting gives WF real firepower to post a big total, with Chapman offering further depth — TSK’s shaky bowling confidence right now makes defending anything under 190 a tough ask.

WF vs TSK Today Match Prediction

Prediction: Washington Freedom to Win — 62%

This wf vs tsk win prediction favours Washington fairly clearly — they’ve won three of the last four head-to-head meetings, they’re red-hot with two straight wins and a leap to the top of the table, and Mitchell Owen gives them the most dangerous top-order weapon on either side. Texas Super Kings aren’t out of it — du Plessis remains a genuine matchwinner — but back-to-back defeats and a bowling attack short on confidence make this a tough ask for them at Grand Prairie.